Financial Models

18 published · 18 C15-verified · 0 pre-IPO · last published: AMZN (2026-07-13)

AMZN Amazon.com

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 21Q + 5A history · 7Q + 5A projection
Segments: 3
KPI: YoY growth x segment (NA / International / AWS) + disaggregation, mix and segment-margin drivers
Thesis: AWS re-acceleration (+28% and rising) funds the ~$200B AI capex cycle; retail margin grind does the rest
Updated: 2026-07-13 · 74 KB

COIN Coinbase Global

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 21Q + 5A history · 8Q + 5A projection
Segments: 9
KPI: Volume x blended take rate x mix (transaction) + QoQ-growth S&S components (stablecoin / rewards / interest & finance / other)
Thesis: Volume x take-rate cycle trough (FY26E -18%) + stablecoin/staking S&S compounding; buybacks fund the wait
Updated: 2026-07-13 · 109 KB

CPRT Copart

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 23Q + 5A history · 9Q + 5A projection
Segments: 2
KPI: YoY growth x segment (Service/Vehicle x US/International)
Thesis: US service stall (FY26 flat) vs Intl DD growth; cash-pile buybacks at 52-wk lows carry EPS $1.59→$2.19 by FY30
Updated: 2026-07-13 · 76 KB

NFLX Netflix

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 21Q + 5A history · 7Q + 5A projection
Segments: 4
KPI: YoY growth x regional streaming revenue (UCAN / EMEA / LATAM / APAC) + content amort/spend-ratio drivers
Thesis: Ads scaling + pricing carry low-teens growth post-members disclosure; OM 31.5% guided FY26E stepping to 38% FY30E
Updated: 2026-07-13 · 66 KB

TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 21Q + 5A history · 8Q + 5A projection
Segments: 6
KPI: QoQ growth x platform (HPC / Smartphone / IoT / Automotive / DCE / Others); NT$ currency of record
Thesis: AI-foundry monopoly: FY26E +37.5% NT$ on HPC; GM glides 66% to 59% by FY30E on overseas-fab dilution
Updated: 2026-07-13 · 76 KB

SKHYV SK hynix

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 21Q + 5A history · 8Q + 5A projection
Segments: 3
KPI: QoQ bit-shipment growth × blended ASP change per product (DRAM / NAND Flash / Other); KRW currency of record
Thesis: HBM-led supercycle at a 72%-OM blow-off: sold-out 2026 (+216% rev), 2027 ASP correction modeled vs Street's uninterrupted ramp
Updated: 2026-07-10 · 86 KB

META Meta Platforms

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 21Q + 5A history · 7Q + 5A projection
Segments: 3
KPI: YoY growth x revenue disaggregation (Advertising / FoA Other / Reality Labs); segment operating income tied FoA + RL = total
Thesis: AI capex supercycle: $125-145B FY26 capex vs ads +25% guide; FY26E $253B at consensus, FCF pinned near zero through FY27
Updated: 2026-07-10 · 65 KB

U Unity Software

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 21Q + 5A history · 7Q + 5A projection
Segments: 2
KPI: YoY growth x filed segment (Create / Grow); cross-regime 2021 basis preserved; Strategic/Non-Strategic overlay calibrates the path
Thesis: Vector ad inflection (strategic Grow +49%) + ironSource sunset; GAAP-profit Q4'26E; FY26 +13.5% -> FY30 +10.1%
Updated: 2026-07-09 · 64 KB

INTU Intuit

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 23Q + 5A history · 9Q + 5A projection
Segments: 2
KPI: YoY-by-quarter growth × sub-offering (GBS: Online/Desktop Eco; Consumer: TurboTax/Credit Karma/ProTax); tax-season seasonality preserved
Thesis: Online Eco +16% + IES mid-market; DIY value-based pricing pivot; 2026 Plan +250bp FY27 OM; FY26 +13.5% → FY30 +7.4%
Updated: 2026-07-08 · 83 KB

ADBE Adobe

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 22Q + 5A history · 10Q + 5A projection
Segments: 2
KPI: QoQ growth × customer group (BP&C / C&MP subscription revenue)
Thesis: Organic ARR decel caps growth at HSD; ~95%-of-FCF buybacks carry GAAP EPS $18→$29 by FY30; freemium conversion is the unmodeled upside
Updated: 2026-07-04 · 73 KB

BSP Bending Spoons S.p.A.

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 2Q + 3A (424B4 disclosure depth; deepens with post-IPO 10-Qs) history · 8Q + 5A projection
Segments: 1
KPI: Monthly Paying Customers × ARPU (units × ASP, single consolidated segment)
Thesis: Post-IPO ($29, Jul '26): acquisition annualization FY26 +100% → +15% FY30; $933M raise banked for M&A; net-cash ~FY29E
Updated: 2026-07-04 · 31 KB

MU Micron Technology

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 23Q + 5A history · 9Q + 5A projection
Segments: 3
KPI: bit growth × ASP change × technology (DRAM / NAND / Other)
Thesis: $50B FQ4'26 guide-anchored; 2027-28 supply response normalizes GM 86%→52% by FY29; SCA floor holds trough above prior-cycle peaks
Updated: 2026-07-04 · 64 KB

SPCX Space Exploration Technologies

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 2Q + 3A (424B4 disclosure depth; deepens with post-IPO 10-Qs) history · 8Q + 5A projection
Segments: 3
KPI: Subs × ARPU (Starlink Consumer) + QoQ growth × 5 sub-segments (Space / E&G / AI)
Thesis: Post-IPO ($135, Jun '26): Starlink subs 10.3M→36M; $25B notes fund AI capex supercycle; FY26 +21% → FY30 +18%
Updated: 2026-07-04 · 42 KB

NVDA NVIDIA

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 16Q + 5A history · 8Q + 5A projection
Segments: 2
KPI: QoQ growth × segment (Compute & Networking / Graphics)
Thesis: AI infra ramp: GB300 + Vera Rubin H2 FY27 drive FY27E rev +71% to ~$369B, decel to +8% by FY31; net margin holds ~55%
Updated: 2026-06-18 · 51 KB

ORCL Oracle

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 16Q + 5A history · 8Q + 5A projection
Segments: 4
KPI: YoY growth × segment (Cloud / Software / Hardware / Services), FY26-recast regime
Thesis: $638B RPO converts: Cloud +65% FY27 on the DC build; GM troughs at the $90B capex/depreciation wave, FY30E rev ~$200B (10% haircut to mgmt path)
Updated: 2026-06-12 · 59 KB

CHYM Chime Financial

current ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 8Q + 3A history · 8Q + 5A projection
Segments: 1
KPI: Members × PV per Active Member × Take Rate (intensive: count × $/unit); MyPay ARR informational
Thesis: Consumer fintech compounding: Members 8.6M → 13M+; PV/Member rising; MyPay attach driving ARPU; FY26 +27% → FY30 +18%
Updated: 2026-05-25 · 42 KB

SE Sea

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 16Q + 5A history · 8Q + 5A projection
Segments: 4
KPI: QoQ growth × segment (Garena / Shopee / Monee / Other)
Thesis: Shopee ROW expansion (Brazil/Latam) + Monee consumer credit compounding; FY26 +32% → FY30 +13%
Updated: 2026-05-20 · 52 KB

INTC Intel

current ✓ C13 recon ✓ C14 trace ✓ C15 terminals

Window: 16Q + 5A history · 8Q + 5A projection
Segments: 7
KPI: QoQ growth × segment (CCG / DCAI / NEX / Intel Foundry / Mobileye / All Other / Eliminations)
Thesis: Intel Foundry external customer ramp + DCAI AI server share recovery; FY26 +6.5% → FY30 +8.1%
Updated: 2026-05-17 · 44 KB

Methodology

Every projected revenue cell traces to a KPI/driver row (C14). Terminal driver cells are rates, counts, or historical anchors — never typed-in projected dollar levels (C15). Every subtotal-vs-reported reconciliation row ties to $0 (C13). Each model is written per-ticker against its actual schema — no cloning, no level-input shortcuts.